Wednesday, October 7, 2015

2015 NFL Survivor: Week 5

SRs from Pinny, consensus numbers from OFP:

Kansas City (vs. Chicago; SR 7.97, OFP 31.7%)

Most popular pick of the week, and it's easy to see why. The Chiefs not only have the highest SR, but the dropoff is pretty steep if your're not willing to burn GB or NE. There's also not a clear time to take KC from W6-W15, depending on Roethlisberger's availability in W7.

Thursday, October 1, 2015

2015 NFL Survivor: Week 4

SRs from Pinny, consensus numbers from OFP:

Indianapolis (vs. Jacksonville; SR 7.70, OFP 27.3%)

Not much of a market for this game right now with Luck hurting. No real reason to take IND either way, although they don't have a ton of FV (vs TB in W12, vs TEN in W17).

Thursday, September 24, 2015

2015 NFL Survivor: Week 3

lol. SRs from Pinny, consensus numbers from OFP:

Seattle (vs. Chicago; SR 9.11, OFP 42.5%)
New England (vs. Jacksonville; SR 8.93, OFP 32.4%)

The huge SR dropoff between these two and everybody else creates the unusual situation where the two most popular plays of the week double as the two best SR/pop combos, and by quite a bit.

Wednesday, September 16, 2015

2015 NFL Survivor: Week 2

SRs from Pinny, consensus numbers from OFP:

New Orleans (vs. Tampa Bay; SR 8.09, OFP 46.9%)

Go Bucs.

Thursday, September 10, 2015

2015 NFL Survivor: Week 1

SRs from Pinny, consensus numbers from OFP:

Green Bay (at Chicago; SR 7.21, OFP 19.9%)

No one team is super popular this week, but even so would rather not burn the Packers on the road as the most-picked team in W1.

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

The Long Con of @RJinVegas: "Vegas" Says (Part Two)

RJ Bell is the founder and CEO of, a sports betting website that includes forums, odds, contests, and picks (both of the free and for purchase varieties). It is one of the most successful sites of its kind, in no small part due to the popularity of Bell, who has accumulated over 80K 100K Twitter followers and established himself as the mainstream media's go-to "expert" for stories involving gambling on sports.

An American success story if there every was one. That's only one side of it, though. In some corners of the internet (including this blog), there is a feeling that Bell has not found his success in a legitimate way. This is the 16th post in a series detailing the reasoning behind that particular feeling. If you'd like to start at the beginning, it's here.

Back in August, we established that:
using "Vegas" as a meaningless buzzword to attribute an undeserving level of importance to the information you're tweeting bad. In this post, I'm going to attempt to expand on that thought by looking at two more subsets of "Vegas Says".

Imaginary Lines

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

This Fortnight and a Half in Degen Internet (2/4-2/24)

G.O.A.T. of the Fortnight and a Half

Alice Emma Walker, for her generous offer.

W.O.A.T. of the Fortnight and a Half

VegasRunner, who is giving T$$D some competition for Fake Shrap of the Year.

Tweets of the Fortnight and a Half