2012 NFL Survivor: Week 15

Last week:
SEA: W, 58-0
SF: W, 27-13
TB: L, 23-21
IND: W, 27-23
DEN: W, 26-13
CLE: W, 30-7
PIT: L, 34-24
ATL: L, 30-20

Hey, my pick won! Unusual. We lost 18.5% of survivors last week, bringing us down to 2.2% of where we started.

Teams used: Eagles, Bengals, Cowboys, Texans, Ravens, Bucs, Giants, Bears, Packers, Patriots, Falcons, Titans, Lions, 49ers.

This week's consensus numbers from OFP and Yahoo!:

Miami (vs. Jacksonville; Safety Rating 7.47)

Biggest favorite I have left, but not by a huge amount. Too popular to take here.

Detroit (at Arizona; SR 6.92)

Already used. No reason to take them over the next option regardless.

Seattle (at Buffalo; SR 6.94)

Taking the Seahawks last week worked out for the 56% that did so, but it does allow Seattle to be a very strong option this week. Their SR is pretty high, they're not very popular, and while they have some value in Week 17 (vs. St. Louis), it's not nearly enough to pass up on them here.

San Diego (vs. Carolina; SR 5.88)
New Orleans (vs. Tampa Bay; SR 6.46)

Can't see any reason to take either of these teams over Seattle.

Houston (vs. Indianapolis; SR 7.82)
Cincinnati (at Philadelphia; SR 6.63)

Both already used. The Texans are a great pick this week if you've somehow saved them.

Oakland (vs. Kansas City; SR 5.99)

SR not high enough.

Washington (at Cleveland; SR N/A)

I certainly wouldn't take the Redskins here, but the Browns could actually become an interesting option if RG3 doesn't play, depending on where the line settles and which other teams you have available.

This week's pick is the Seahawks.