Friday, December 7, 2007

Fight Night Odds

Big fight tonight, so I thought I should take a look at some of the odds on various sites. I don't follow boxing closely at all, although I did watch the brilliant Mayweather/De La Hoya 24/7 on HBO last year (50 Cent's appearance on a Segway was classic), culminating in an interesting if uneventful fight. Sadly, this year I haven't been able to watch Mayweather/Hatton 24/7, although I've heard that has been quite entertaining as well.

On Saturday night it's Floyd Mayweather Jr. (38-0, 24 KOs) vs Ricky Hatton (43-0, 31 KOs) for the Welterweight Championship. The odds for each to win the fight:

In total, it looks like the books have Mayweather at about 65 percent to win. But this is a big fight, so the odds get much more detailed than that:

Interesting (if not surprising) to look at the differences between Decision and KO for each fighter. If Mayweather wins, there's a 73% chance it'll be by knockout; if Hatton pulls the upset, there's only a 54% chance he'll win by KO.

There are actually odds for the exact round in which the fight will be won, and by whom. This fight is probably going to go the distance; Bodog has the O/U at 11.5, with the over being -230 (66%), and the under at +180 (34%). Finally, The Greek has the breakdown of each individual round:

1 comment:

  1. Hatton made the critical mistake of how to figure beat somebody undefeated.