5. 1998 NL MVP, Sammy Sosa over Mark McGwire
Sosa: .308/.377/.647, 66 HR, 158 RBI, 160 OPS+, 68.3 VORP
McGwire: .299/.470/.752, 70 HR, 147 RBI, 216 OPS+, 104.3 VORP
If you're trying to win an MVP that you don't deserve, there are two important things to do: drive in more runs than your competition, and walk a lot less. The voters pay pretty much no attention to walks now, and I would imagine it was even worse nine years ago. Sosa had a slightly higher BA, but walked in 11% of his PAs, compared to McGwire's 24%.
The voting wasn't even close, with Sosa taking 30 of the 32 first place votes. The reason for that was that the Cubs made the playoffs, edging out the Giants and Mets for the Wild Card with 90 wins. But it's not like the Cardinals were terrible, as they won 83 games.4. 2001 AL MVP, Ichiro Suzuki over Jason Giambi
Giambi has a huge advantage because he he had more than four times as many walks as Ichiro (129-30), but that wasn't taken into considseration, obviously. Ichiro won because he was new and fast and cool, and because the Mariners won 116 games. That's great, and there might be some kind of argument there if the A's finished in last, but they won 102 games (2nd best in the majors), running away with the Wild Card by 17 games.
Ichiro obviously has an edge in the field, but 50 runs? Not so much.
3. 1995 AL MVP, Mo Vaughn over Albert Belle
Look at those numbers. Mo Vaughn was not better than Albert Belle at any aspect of baseball in 1995. He did not hit for a higher average, he didn't get on base more, he didn't hit more HRs, their SLGs aren't even comparable...he didn't even have more RBIs. The voters may sometimes factor fielding in (or at least attempt to), but Mo Vaughn isn't exactly known for his glove. The Indians were also much better than the Red Sox in '95, as they won almost 70% of their games in the strike shortened season.
So, why did Mo Vaughn win this award? Because Albert Belle is not a nice person:
And that's ignoring the stuff that hapened after this voting occured, which includes knocking Fernando Vina over, chasing trick-or-treaters down in his car, and cursing out Hannah Storm."In 1990, he threw a baseball into the stands, where it struck a fan who had been taunting him about his alcohol rehab....In 1986, he went after a heckler in the stands who was shouting racist insults at him; he was suspended while his team played in the College World Series."
Lets see what Buster Olney, who somehow already had an MVP vote 12 years ago, has to say about the situation:
"At that time, baseball was in a very, very fragile state, having come off the strike year. I felt like the MVP was also who was most valuable to the game as a whole...I do think that's probably a human element that determines what happens sometimes. There are certain guys you want to vote for."Great points. It doesn't matter who was better, or even who was more valuable to their team. What's important is who was "most valuable to the game as a whole", and who you "want to vote for". Because those aren't BS criteria or anything.

2. 1996 AL MVP, Juan Gonzalez over Alex Rodriguez

"The scribes, LaVelle Neal of the Minneapolis's Star-Tribune and George King of the New York Post, said they could not justify giving the award to a player who participates every fifth day. Also, they argued, pitchers are eligible for the Cy Young Award, which Martinez won unanimously in 1999. That, even though MVP voters were asked to recluse themselves if they felt they could not vote for a pitcher."
In 1999, Pedro Martinez had a 2.07 ERA. The league average ERA was 5.02. He struck out over 13 guys per nine innings. But apparently a guy with a .356 OBP was more "valuable".
Photos: Boston.com, Washington Post, SI, Latino Sports Legends.

I think you mean As not the Rangers for Giambi.
ReplyDeleteThis stuff bothers me. As passionate sports fans we identify these things that BBWA...Professional baseball "experts" just do not.
I think Edgar Martinez has a better argument for 1995 MVP. He hit 356/479/628 and had a higher VORP than Belle. Sure he was a DH, but he is being compared to Albert Belle. Also, subjectively, Martinez deserves a lot of credit for leading the Mariners on their amazing comeback to take the division from the Angels.
ReplyDeleteNot that I wanted to defend Bonds for anything, but what about him losing to Pendleton in 1991?
ReplyDeleteThat was just absurd.
Vaughan beating Belle in '95 was patently ridiculous. Belle was the best offensive player in the Game, put up sick numbers and did it playing for the best team in Baseball.
ReplyDeleteI also felt that Carlos Delgado was robbed in 2000. Highlight that season's line on baseball-reference.com and tell me how he finished 4th.
Sorry, I'm way late on all this. As usual.
ReplyDeleteJosh- No argument there. I tried to concentrate on the guys who were at the top of the voting. Belle and Vaughn were the clear 1-2 that year, though Edgar got four first place votes. (The real reason is that I'm an Indians fan, and was seven years old in 1995, and absolutely devastated when I heard on the radio that Vaughn won the award.)
Anon- Random fact: the top seven in VORP in 1991 were AL hitters (Ripken, Thomas, Franco (!), Palmeiro, Griffey, Molitor, Tartabull). My list only went back to '95, but that's a legit gripe; Bonds had a 61.6 VORP, Pendelton 53.5. And Bonds was pretty damn good defensively 16 years ago, wasn't he?
Trevor- There's no big snub in 2000, but it's an interesting debate. Delgado hit .344/.470/.664, Giambi .333/.476/.647. A-Rod, who was still at SS with SEA, led the league in VORP, hitting .316/.420/.607. Delgado was 2nd, Nomar 3rd, Giambi 4th. Somehow Nomar, who hit .372, only finished 9th in the voting. Interesting year, as Pedro was 5th with a 1.74 ERA. Seems to me like Pedro would have been the best choice, followed by Rodriguez and Delgado. Although Giambi wasn't a terrible choice, wth his .476 OBP.
Late to the dance on this, but as a long-time Bostonian, it's worth mentioning that the two guys who left Pedro off their ballot that year because they "couldn't bring themselves to vote for a pitcher" are flat out liars. At least one of those guys had put David Wells on his ballot at 8 or 9 the year before. It was a pretty big deal at the time, if I recall. At least around here.
ReplyDeleteIs that true? I didn't know that, thanks. The level of incompetence is stunning.
ReplyDeleteEveryone says Pedro Martinez deserved the MVP award in 1999, but what about Derek Jeter, who had the absolute best year of his career? A .438 OBP with 739 PA is simply amazing, and he was a shortstop.
ReplyDeleteIn fact, this is the main reason he led the league in VORP that year (followed by Chipper Jones, and then Pedro, then Randy Johnson). No one else is even close. Pedro's WARP3 is higher (13.5 to 11.7), so it's close. I agree that pitchers shouldn't automatically be ruled out of receiving the MVP award (if a guy goes 30-0 with 30 CG and a 0.00 ERA, he probably deserves it), but don't you think that if a hitter and a pitcher have similar "value-to-their-team" stats, that the hitter should get the nod for the MVP award? I think this makes sense, since the pitcher has his own award for being the best pitcher.
Jason Giambi over Frank Thomas, 2000. Highway robbery. Yes, JG's numbers were slightly better, but one of these guys was jamming needles full of veterinary steroids into his ass every other week. The other one wasn't.
ReplyDeleteIt turns out A-Rod lead AL hitters in VORP in 1996, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2005, and 2007. That's 7 seasons! And he only has 3 MVP awards. I don't know how many of those years he deserved to win MVP, but definitely more than 3, such as 2002, when Miguel Tejada won because of his TEAM'S winning streak.
ReplyDeleteJust doing some reading when I came across this, figured why not make an outrageously late post.
ReplyDeleteFirst off, with the truth about AROD out, partial truth, anyway: how the hell do we know he only took em for a few years, he could've said that just to somewhat save his rep, like "Hey, look at all the other years I put up, and I was natural"...uh huh, in terms of production, his 96', 2000, 05 and 07 seasons were comparable if not better than the seasons he claims he was on gear. Is he basically saying that steroids don't do much of anything for performance?
Bonds was a tard, but he deserved the award in 91, but a real mystery is how he wasn't even part of the top 10 in 1995, he led the league in ops and was FAR AND AWAY the most balanced player in the entire ML, how does he not even garner a 10th place finish?
I'm a lifetime tribe fan, so don't get me started on 1995.
I gotta say dude, on 1999, you're forgetting someone, how Manny Ramirez didn't win the MVP is beyond me, forget the RBI, that stat came from having Vizquel and Alomar in front of him, both having career seasons, along with the speedy Lofton, his Slugging and OPS sood high above everyone else in the league. I agree, Pedro was SO good that he should've won it as a pitcher, but if it had been a decision of ramirez vs martinez, either one wouldve at least made sense.
2002: how the hell does Tejada win it, Thome was just insane in 02', that was his year, and, since we didn't know about his syringes at the time, and since they BOTH took em', arod is 10 times the player tejada was. Then there's ramirez again(he's always in it).
I think baseball purposely chooses voters with skulls about as thick as Rosie O'Donnell is Fat, to create controversy, a LOT of the choices over just the last 20 years are cut and dry...to someone with half a brain, anyway.