Before we get started, wanted to pass along some excellent video from Red Sox Monster of the Indians' mascot Slider swinging from the Jacobs Field roof onto the infield.
8:03 According to my little system, if the Indians win G2, they have a 42.6% chance of winning the series. If they lose, it's down to 14.1%.
I am nervous.
8:08 The DiaTribe tells the story of Game 1 in pictures.
I'm pretty sure the FOX studio guys have been talking about the game, but I'm not listening.
8:13 David Ortiz's OBP so far in the postseason? .882. Promising.
8:21 I think "Baby Omar" is a great nickname for Asdrubal.
"The Man" for Peralta? Not so much.
8:22 By the way, I am ignoring the fact that Ryan Garko is apparently a big Brady Quinn fan.
8:23 Prediction, Hermano? I'll go 4-1 Tribe.
8:25 Grady leads it off with a double. Quite different from last night, when Beckett made him look quite foolish in the first. I hate Josh Beckett.
8:27 No...Asdrubal...damn it.
8:29 Apparently Francona pulled Beckett last night because he "tightened up". I take back the credit I gave Francona for planning ahead.
8:31 I'm well aware that "clutch" does not exist. But when you watch like 70% of a team's innings over the course of the season, and a guy hits .400 w/ two outs and RISP, it sure seems like he's better in those spots.
Victor doubles off the monster. Brady Quinn's #1 fan grounds out. 1-0 Tribe after 0.5.
8:35 If this isn't proof that these celebrity lineup intros need to end, I don't know what is.
8:37 Both Gameday and FOX say Carmona is throwing 98. These are sinkers, mind you. Is that even possible? Pedroia goes down harmlessly.
8:39 Fox's numbers for Carmona as a starter last year: "7 starts". That's it.
8:43 Papi's updated October OBP: .889. Two on, one out for Manny.
8:46 The Ortiz/Manny on base streak ends at 11, as Manny makes two outs simultaneously. Ha-yuge.
8:48 Denzel is my favorite actor. Jay-Z is my favorite rapper. You could say I'm somewhat excited about this whole American Gangster situation. November 2nd.
8:50 "Curt Schilling is pitching for money tonight." As opposed to most nights, when he is unpaid.
8:52 You have to love Kenny's enthusiasm, at least. He won't be using that bat again.
8:53 The idea that Schilling has to prove that he's a "big game pitcher" makes no sense to me. If it existed, wouldn't that just be a trait you had or you didn't? Can't we just establish that Schilling is trying to add another impressive performance in a big game to his resume?
Trot Nixon looks like Josh Beckett.
9:01 Peralta makes a nice play in the hole. Wait, what?
9:02 I question FOX's decision to not have a flame for pitches that are 95mph. That seems deserving to me.
9:04 A 1-2-3 inning for Fausto, but he needs to stop getting into these 2-1 counts. That could have easily been two on with one out.
9:09 If Casey Blake starts more than 80 games for this team next year, I will be unhappy. (That is not at all based on that AB, which was decent until the last swing. Just a general observation. More Peralta to third. Please.)
9:10 Someone pointed out last night how unbelievably obnoxious it is when Buck and McCarver immediately say the answer to these trivia questions. They are meant for the viewers, rather than broadcasters. This concept is lost on these two.
9:15 Falling behind on every hitter isn't going to work for much longer.
9:17 Bunt. Please. Do it.
9:21 Good thing they have Lugo locked up for three more years.
A good point in the comments by Schaefer. It's almost as if the sinker has too much movement tonight, and he's finishing out of the zone. He's also not getting the low strike.
9:22 That's what you want to do against this lineup, walk Dustin Pedroia.
Please hit a GB, Youk.
9:23 Yes, the 2-0 pitch to Pedroia was a strike. Gameday says so. FOX's pitch tracker thing is garbage.
9:26 Ball 1 to Youk was Fausto's 57th pitch. Not good.
9:27 And Youkilis almost falls over striking out on a 95mph sinker that was six inches inside.
Now it gets serious.
9:29 I had the same thought about the Youkilis K, T-Bone (from The DiaTribe, I'm assuming). I saw a video somewhere of that Jeter K on loop, but can't find it.
Infield single for Ortiz. Manny time.
9:31 This series is the first time I can ever remember rooting against Manny Ramirez. It's not fun.
9:32 Manny walks. 1-1. Lowell up.
9:35 Huge two-run single for Lowell. Could have had Ortiz at the plate if the throw was decent. It wasn't. 3-1.
They do have FRAA for pitchers, Schaef. Fausto was +3 this year, Garland was +1. I'm assuming +3 is towards the upper end of the spectrum.
9:37 74 pitches for Carmona after three. No way he gets through the middle of this lineup again. Lewis will come in for the 5th or 6th.
9:40 3-4-5 up against Schilling. Would be nice to get one back here.
9:42 Pronk flies out. Foods here. Back in a minute.
9:49 I missed, Victor, Garko, and Peralta. I'm not kidding.
9:50 So, apparently, Victor singled to
4-3 Tribe after 3.5. 7-8-9 coming up for the Sox in what may be Fausto's last inning.
9:52 BTW, I would pay good money to watch McCarver on "Are You Smarter Than a Fifth Grader".
9:55 Yes, Schaef, Gameday says Victor's single was to right. Apparently I can't read.
10:00 Walk #5. What is going on?
10:04 Fausto Ks Pedroia. 95 pitches, I would imagine he's done. I guess it would make sense to try to have Perez pitch 5-6, Lewis 7, Betancourt 8, and then (ugh) Borowski 9. And have Betancourt ready to come in in the 7th if Lewis falters. Make sense?
10:07 Apparently this post "disappeared" for a couple minutes? No idea how that happened. My fault.
10:09 He's got nothing to show for it, but Blake has had two pretty good ABs.
Why do they have two male field reporters?
10:11 Grady smacks a FB on the outside corner over the fence in right-center. 5-3. Awesome.
10:12 Agreed, Schaef, Sabathia has seemed "lose" at no point over the last two weeks.
10:16 See how Manny played that Hafner single? Awesome.
10:17 They're leaving Schilling in. Excellent.
10:19 That's it for Schilling. In comes Delcarmen. I haven't seen too much of him, but based on numbers, I'm not sold on him. A lot of walks. We shall see.
10:21 I don't care if he's right, Buck shouldn't be allowed to use the term "plus-plus fastball".
10:22 Garko grounds out to third, 5-3 mid 5. 4.5 innings in two hours. Welcome to American League playoff baseball.
10:25 Carmona comes back out. Surprising. Doubt that would have happened without the insurance run. He'll be on a very, very short leash. Perez and Lewis warming, to match up with the big two.
10:26 If Fausto Carmona getting the win even entered into Wedge's mind in making this decision, I'm furious.
He's not really gonna leave Fausto in to pitch to Ortiz, is he?
10:27 He is not. Thank God. Of course this is the right move, McCarver.
10:32 Unless Perez gets shelled, we better not see Lewis in the fifth. That would be so dumb.
10:33 Ortiz beats out the relay at first. Now they can leave Perez in and not completely waste him.
10:36 5-5. Freaking Ramirez.
I still agree with leaving Perez in to pitch to him though.
10:38 23rd career postseason homer for Manny, which means he's now got the most playoff HR all time.
Jesus. Lowell homers over the monster. 6-5. Jensen Lewis time.
10:40 One batter too late, Wedge. Terrible job.
10:44 Mickey Mantle played in 65 World Series games. That's insane.
10:45 What a ridiculous turn by Asdrubal. He better be playing SS next year.
Varitek is slow. 6-5 Sox after 5.
10:47 Final lines on the SPs:
Carmona: 4IP, 4H, 4R, 4ER, 5BB, 5K, 0HR, 100 pitches, 51 strikes
Schilling: 5.2 IP, 9H, 5R, 5ER, 0BB, 3K, 2HR, 85 pitches, 58 strikes
10:49 Doesn't "17" seem like a weird number for a relief pitcher?
10:50 Good time to bunt? Are you serious, McCarver? Playing for one run in this game, with these two offenses, with the bullpens needing to give you this many innings? He better not bunt.
10:52 Lofton singles to left, and man, Peralta is slow. "Good baserunning". I mean, I guess. You really have to get to third on that though.
10:55 OK, I'll take that. 6-6, guy on second, one out, Blake coming up. Okajima coming in. The rest of this game is going to be a mess for both managers to get through. Somebody is going to screw up royally. Most likely Mr. Wedge.
10:58 This game is more than two and a half hours old, and there's one out in the top of the sixth.
10:59 Grady is on deck; he's been much better vs. LHP this year, .284/.384/.428. Loses a little power, but the OBP is still excellent.
11:00 It obviously depends on how things play out, but is Francona trying to do Okajima for five outs, then Papelbon for six? I think that's what I would do, not that I know nearly enough about their pen to make an intelligent decision.
11:03 So, apparently, Papelbon hasn't gotten six outs all year. And he's only gone more than in inning four times. I guess we'll be seeing Gagne? Lopez?
11:04 It is weird that they're pitching around Grady, and now walking him. But I think that's what I would do.
I'm agreeing with McCarver. I'm gonna stop now.
11:05 "1st player in MLB history named 'Asdrubal'". Now that is a good stat.
11:06 Well not a good job there by Lugo. That could be an enormous play in this game. Hafner up.
11:07 Well, can't ask for more than that from Hafner. That's a two-run single against a normal defense, but of course that's why they have the shift.
I would assume/hope that Lewis comes out for the sixth, then if he gets through that you try to get two innings out of Betancourt.
11:12 "Dusty Baker gets three-year deal to manage Reds"
Hilarious. How do we feel about Dunn in terms of "clogging the bases"? Does he not clog the bases, because of all the Ks, or does he, because of all the walks? I am torn.
11:14 "Justin Lewis". Probably friends with "Brandon Arroyo".
11:16 "Dustin Pedroia = David Eckstein". Right, except three times as good.
11:17 Who, exactly, was saying "Who's this Dustin Pedroia guy" at the beginning of the year? I was not aware of this sentiment.
6-6 after 6. On pace for a 4.5 hour game. Unless it goes into extras...
11:18 Good job by Lewis. Betancourt will come out for the seventh (I hope). Youk-Papi-Manny due up for the Sox.
But first, Victor-Garko-Peralta up for the Tribe. Still Okajima, I'm assuming. And then Papelbon for two? You have to, right?
11:22 Is the fact that nobody is really warming up really indicative of how much the Red Sox love Okajima, or just the fact the fact that Schilling got knocked out in the fifth and they don't really have many options right now?
"This is turning into a battle between the two closers, Borowski and Papelbon". It is? Really?
Victor swings at ball four. One out. Garko.
11:26 "Graduated from high school with a four point average". You clearly did not have a "four point average" in HS, Tim.
11:29 Okajima was pretty impressive there. Now Betancourt against the middle of the Boston order. This should be
11:31 Okajima is at 30 pitches. He threw more than this a couple times during the regular season; 2.1 IP, 38 pitches once, and 2IP, 32 pitches once.
Wow, Lewis again? I guess?
11:35 Well, this worked out so far. Wedge gets two more outs from Lewis (seven total), and now Betancourt in to face Manny. There's a reason he's going to win Manager of the Year! (Beyond the fact that, you know, they underperformed their Pythag so much last year that it looked like they made a big improvement this year.)
11:38 "Played three years in the minor leagues as a SS, his arm was too good." I doubt that was the reason...
Joe Buck has clearly never seen Rafael Betancourt pitch before.
11:43 Awesome job by Betancourt.
Are the Sox really gonna bring in Timlin here, rather than Papelbon? Why not go to Papelbon for two innings, then figure something out if this goes into extras?
11:44 If Betancourt can set them down 1-2-3 in the 8th, and the Indians somehow push a run across in T8 orT9, Borowski will only have to face Crisp-Lugo-Pedroia in the 9th. Not that he'll get those three out, and I'm sure Ortiz will end up coming up as the winning run. But in theory, that would work well.
11:47 How, exactly, would Ramirez see the shadow of Victor's target.
Timlin is in. First pitch goes to the backstop. Nice.
11:50 Papelbon and Lopez warming up.
11:52 "The Reds were looking for a high profile manager." I really like to think that that was their #1 criteria. Quality was secondary.
11:53 Timlin gets the job done. It'll be Papelbon vs. Sizemore-Asdrubal-Hafner in the 9th. Hopefully in a tie game. Betancourt will come out for the 8th, I'm sure.
11:57 " and homer bailey immediately calls his agent and demands a trade." -T-Bone.
11:58 FJM picks up on the Pedroia-Eckstein comparison as well.
12:02 Lowell has fouled off five two-strike pitches. This is the problem with Betancourt- he doesn't really have an out pitch (besides his fastball). Not that there's really a problem with Betancourt.
Oh wow, and right after I say that he strikes out looking on a slider. Nice.
12:05 Six up, six down for Betancourt. 22 pitches. He should come out for the ninth. I'm guessing he will if it's still tied, but Borowski if the Indians have the lead.
Sizemore, Asdrubal, Hafner, against Papelbon. Victor if anyone gets on.
This is fun.
12:10 Borowski warming up. Ugh.
12:16 Asdrubal pops up to end an 8 pitch AB. Pronk up.
It's not half prospect half donkey, Joe. You are wrong. Stop saying this.
12:18 Pronk singles up the middle. Now Victor can put the Indians in the lead with an XBH. Maybe. Barfield pinch runs for Hafner. Not sure how I feel about this.
12:20 Wow, Barfield steals second without a throw. Now they'll walk Victor to get to Garko. That's fine. Now just need a single.
12:21 "What makes this compelling is this is the first intentional walk given up by Papelbon this year."
There are like thirty things that make this situation compelling. That is not one of them.
12:23 " if there's ever a time for jim rome's jungle karma to come through, this is it..." -T-Bone
I have no idea what that means. But go Garko.
12:24 Nice cut by Garko there on a 1-2 pitch. Jeez. Still alive though.
12:25 Garko hits it somewhat hard, but right at Lowell.
Who's coming in? The season rests in the balance. And Buck is cut off in mid sentence as they go to commercials. Appropriate.
12:31 Raffy R blows one by Coco. One out.
12:32 Lugo pops out. Two dead.
12:33 Pedroia singles. Ellsbury pinch runs. And running he will be.
12:35 Unbelievable- another uncontested SB. This is the winning run!
12:37 Betancourt gets the check swing call. That's huge. 2-2 rather than 3-1. With Papi on deck.
12:39 My heart skips a beat every time Youk swings. Still 2-2.
12:41 A great effort by Victor. Almost had that. STILL 2-2. That was pitch #8. Or 9. Or something.
12:42 OK, that's nine pitches. Five straight foul balls.
12:43 Ten and six. Informative updates, I know.
12:44 Oh man, I thought that was the end.
I'm going to take a quick walk around the apartment. This is absurd. The bottom of the tenth is going to be a mess.
12:47 I cannot possibly say enough about the performances of Jensen Lewis and Rafael Betancourt. Combined: 4.2 IP, 1H, 0R, 0BB, 4Ks. Unbelievable.
But Betancourt has now thrown 42 pitches. Now Mastny is getting loose. Well that's a terrible idea. Why is Aaron Laffey on this roster again?
Prediction: Peralta Ks.
12:49 I really went out on a limb on that one. Maybe Gutierrez runs into an FB and makes it 7-6. Well, Lofton is up first. I'm an idiot.
12:50 Now Gutierrez. 13 HR in 271 ABs this year.
Trying not to think about the bottom half of this inning. Ortiz, Ramirez, Lowell due up.
12:51 Cal lost also? What the hell? OSU #1, BC #2. A strange world we live in.
12:54 Youkilis awkwardly makes the catch on a routine popup, and Papelbon goes nuts, of course (not that I blame him).
I just want to say that this has been an unbelievable game, and I've really enjoyed this.
I say this now because I don't see this game going past the bottom of the tenth.
12:57 Tom Mastny is coming in.
12:57 I hate this move.
12:59 T-Bone, how could you feel good about this? Mastny walked 32 in 57.2 IP.
Well done, Jhonny. I guess.
Manny Ramirez is about to hit a baseball 500 feet. I'm not even going to be mad, to be honest.
1:01 Screw it. Walk Manny. Whatever.
1:01 Manny pops out to right. What is going on!?!??!? I'm assuming Lowell will end it now.
Intelligent analysis has come to a halt for the moment. Sorry.
1:02 Gagne getting loose. Good.
1:03 Tom Mastny sets the heart of the BoSox lineup down 1-2-3 in the 10th.
That sentence makes no sense. None. I don't understand.
Instant analysis from T-Bone: "gagne!!!!". My sentiments exactly.
1:04 Blake, Sizemore, Asdrubal.
1:06 Do remember (I momentarily forgot) that Josh Barfield is due up fourth this inning. So it would be either Michaels or Shoppach (or Trot, I guess). Probably Michaels.
Blake never had a chance. Time for Grady.
1:08 Grady singles to right. Now it's up to Asdrubal.
Trot is on deck. Trot Nixon is going to get the game winning (/go ahead) hit. This is going to happen. This would follow the pattern of nothing making sense.
1:11 Asdrubal walks.
Trot Nixon, people. Now this is happening.
1:12 Oh screw this. They're bringing in Lopez? Time for Jason Michaels, I would think.
1:13 My SiteMeter is hysterical right now, BTW. Since midnight: 15 visits, 207 page views. That's quite a ratio.
1:14 Javier Lopez has weird platoon splits; lefties have been better against him this year.
1:15 Yes, I said that before Buck. 04-06 his splits were about even.
Trot singles to center. This was obvious, no?
1:16 We need more runs. Do not stop now. Victor!
1:17 Wild pitch. Asdrubal comes in from third. 8-6. More runs!
1:18 Jason Michaels comes in to pinch run.
That sentence makes no sense. Seeing a trend here?
1:18 Victor getting intentionally walked again. This is frustrating. Here comes Garko.
1:20 "Mastny is in line for the victory..." WHO CARES?
1:21 Garko singles up the middle. Michaels scores. 9-6! Still not confident. Need more runs. Peralta up. Lester coming in?
1:25 Peralta rips one down the LF line, fair! Victor scores, Garko to third, double for Peralta.
10-6. Not done yet. Needs to be 12-6. Lofton up.
1:27 Not sending Garko there? Really? Whatever.
T-Bone, coming up huge as always, with the definition of "Jungle Karma" in the comments.
Oh boy. Gutierrez just hit a ball very, very far. The score is now 13-6.
This is insane.
1:29 Blake goes down looking. Just called my brother. Both of us are confused, to say the least.
1:32 Seven runs, JoeBo. Seven runs.
Frank the Tank, indeed, T-Bone.
1:33 Leadoff man on. Tying run on quintuple deck.
1:34 Varitek goes down swinging. Two more outs.
"Don't forget that Wednesday is an off day, between games four and five."
Hmm, I wonder why. This couldn't have anything to do with FOX.
If the Sox are down 2-1, they have to go to Beckett in G4, don't they? Only threw 80 pithces last night.
Crisp singles to right. Tying run on quadruple deck.
1:38 "Player of the game" or whatever is Nixon, but the key to this game was the Lewis-Betancourt-Mastny combo, 5.2 IP, one hit. They were amazing.
1:40 Brian is very much on point in the comments:
"Mastny with the win. Trot with the game-winning hit. I might read those two sentences another fifty times and do a double-take every single time."
1:41 So, 5.5 hours and 3500 words later, the Indians win 13-6.
A five hour, fourteen minute game, says Joe Buck. Ridiculous in all senses of the word.
Game 3 in Cleveland, Monday night at 7. Matsuzaka vs. Westbrook. I guess I have to do another live-blog. Looking forward to it.
1:44 Thanks to everyone who chimed in in the comments, especially T-Bone (The DiaTribe), Hermano (WSAS), NSchaef, and Brian.
That's it for me. Hope you check back in for G3 on Monday. The rest of this series is going to be fun.